According to the source, Dan Niles said a Fed rate cut cycle and a return to quantitative easing would lead to broad gains across both the crypto and stock markets, stating "Everybody's gonna win," which traders can read as a risk-on signal tied to potential policy easing (source: public quote attributed to Dan Niles on Oct 28, 2025).

According to @Ashcryptoreal, the crypto total market cap remains in a bull trend, with panic sellers being flushed before a parabolic phase expected in the next 4–6 months; source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 26, 2025. The author cites expanding M2 money supply, an anticipated end to Fed quantitative tightening with potential quantitative easing, and 3–4 rate cuts within six months as key liquidity catalysts; source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 26, 2025. Additional drivers listed include US equities at new highs, gold at a $30 trillion valuation with possible rotation into Bitcoin (BTC) after stabilization, and forthcoming US crypto-friendly regulations; source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 26, 2025. The author also notes 155 altcoin ETF filings that could be approved after a government shutdown, framing a setup for a parabolic rally in BTC and altcoins if these catalysts materialize; source: @Ashcryptoreal on X, Oct 26, 2025.

According to the source, weak U.S. manufacturing data could extend Bitcoin’s cycle by loosening financial conditions that favor risk assets, and traders should verify with the official ISM Manufacturing PMI and S&P Global PMI releases for confirmation, source: Institute for Supply Management; S&P Global. Sub-50 ISM readings indicate contraction and have historically aligned with declines in the 10-year Treasury yield and a softer U.S. dollar, both of which are tailwinds for BTC liquidity, source: Institute for Supply Management; Federal Reserve Economic Data (DGS10); ICE U.S. Dollar Index. BTC has shown a negative correlation with U.S. yields and the dollar in 2023–2024, so drops in DGS10 and DXY have tended to coincide with stronger BTC performance, source: Kaiko Research 2024; Glassnode research. Traders should monitor ISM new orders and prices paid sub-indexes plus post-release moves in DGS10, DXY, and CME FedWatch rate-cut probabilities to gauge near-term BTC direction and volatility, source: Institute for Supply Management; Federal Reserve Economic Data; ICE Data Services; CME FedWatch.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the upcoming US CPI release is likely to spark volatility across risk assets, including BTC and ETH, with any outcome creating a directional bias. According to @CryptoMichNL, a hotter-than-expected CPI could trigger an initial drop followed by a rebound as a new bullish narrative emerges. According to @CryptoMichNL, a cooler-than-expected CPI would likely reinforce a market narrative around impending Fed rate cuts, supporting a constructive risk tone. According to @CryptoMichNL, recent comments from Chair Powell have reduced the market’s focus on inflation, and social media is likely to frame either CPI outcome as bullish for markets.

According to @Nick_van_Eck, the combination of the Federal Reserve cutting rates while risk assets sit at all-time highs and tokens serving as the primary product/exit in recent months points to ongoing distribution pressure that can cap rallies and increase sell supply across new crypto launches, impacting trade selection and risk management for token markets; source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Oct 11, 2025.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, a new episode with @TrajanKing lays out eight time-stamped market catalysts for traders: U.S. government shutdown mechanics (02:20), the impact of a macro data blackout on potential Fed rate cuts (09:00), why BTC is lagging (16:20), updates on Nexo (23:08) and Figure Markets (23:42), what’s coming in 2026 (24:17), prepping for black swans (26:10), and a Bitcoin and crypto thesis to 2030 (32:20), source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, the discussion frames a bullish long-term crypto outlook alongside U.S. debt spiral concerns, emphasizing risk management and positioning into the 2026–2030 horizon, source: @MilkRoadDaily. According to @MilkRoadDaily, the post provides actionable timestamps so traders can quickly review macro catalysts and align BTC and broader crypto exposure with the highlighted themes, source: @MilkRoadDaily.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the US Dollar is on track for its worst year since 1973 with a decline of more than 10% year to date, source: @KobeissiLetter. According to @KobeissiLetter, the US Dollar has lost over 40% of its purchasing power since 2000, source: @KobeissiLetter. According to @KobeissiLetter, the Federal Reserve is cutting rates while Core PCE inflation runs above 2.9% for the first time in over 30 years, source: @KobeissiLetter. According to @KobeissiLetter, this backdrop favors hard assets, with gold and Bitcoin (BTC) expected to lead performance, source: @KobeissiLetter.

According to the source, a U.S. federal shutdown would force the Bureau of Labor Statistics to postpone the Employment Situation (nonfarm payrolls) release because BLS suspends data collection and publication during a lapse in appropriations, which is outlined in the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics contingency plan. According to the Federal Reserve’s FOMC statement, labor market conditions are a key input to data‑dependent policy, and traders recalibrate rate‑cut odds after the jobs report using fed funds futures, as described by CME Group’s FedWatch methodology. According to the Cboe Options Institute, uncertainty around the timing of major macro releases tends to lift implied volatility, and crypto has become sensitive to U.S. macro conditions, according to IMF research showing stronger co-movement with broader risk assets.

According to @MilkRoadDaily, Scott Melker argues the Federal Reserve is effectively neutered and recent rate cuts have not triggered a crypto rally, indicating macro policy headlines are not the dominant driver of BTC and ETH near term, source: @MilkRoadDaily, Sep 25, 2025. The discussion highlights that gold is signaling recession risk while equities continue to rally, suggesting traditional cross-asset signals are breaking down for traders, source: @MilkRoadDaily, Sep 25, 2025. The segment focuses on what is actually moving markets now, pointing to AI-driven flows, institutional participation, and ETF listings as bigger catalysts than the classic four-year cycle, source: @MilkRoadDaily, Sep 25, 2025. It also notes growing activity in perpetual DEXs and raises whether institutional listings and market structure shifts are the real game changers for liquidity and price discovery, source: @MilkRoadDaily, Sep 25, 2025. Trading takeaway: prioritize monitoring ETF listing dynamics, institutional flow indicators, and Perp DEX activity over rate-cut headlines when positioning in majors like BTC and ETH, source: @MilkRoadDaily, Sep 25, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter on X (Sep 22, 2025), stocks are rising like the US economy is booming while oil prices are falling like a recession is approaching, highlighting a sharp cross-asset divergence relevant for crypto risk management, source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 22, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, gold is climbing as if the Fed is cutting into inflation and Bitcoin BTC is declining as if Fed rate cuts are being postponed, pointing to policy expectations pressuring digital assets, source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 22, 2025. According to @KobeissiLetter, home prices are rising as if more rate cuts are coming and Treasury yields are rising like stagflation has arrived, framing a new era of monetary policy that could drive BTC liquidity and volatility through yield and policy expectations, source: @KobeissiLetter on X, Sep 22, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter, the average funding spread, a gauge of institutional demand for long equity exposure via futures, options, and swaps, jumped roughly 20 basis points in recent days to its highest level since December 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). The move followed disappointing non-farm payrolls data two weeks ago, which increased market expectations for additional Federal Reserve rate cuts (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). Professional investor positioning has been steadily recovering since April, though the funding spread remains well below the peak seen in November 2024 (source: @KobeissiLetter, Sep 20, 2025). For crypto markets, higher institutional risk appetite in equities has historically coincided with stronger comovement between Bitcoin and stocks since 2020, making this uptick a relevant macro signal for digital assets (source: IMF, Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022).

According to @rovercrc, a U.S.-China deal and 2-3 Federal Reserve rate cuts are imminent and positioned as key catalysts for a risk-on move in crypto, source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025. The author sets a $10,000 price target for Ethereum (ETH), attributing potential upside to these macro drivers, source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025. Traders assessing ETH may reference these specific catalysts and target level as outlined by the author, source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 20, 2025.

According to the source, an economist warned that rapid Federal Reserve rate cuts could jolt BTC and altcoins up substantially. According to the source, the economist expects at least two more rate cuts this year.

According to the source, US rate cuts have begun, creating a divergence where macro turns risk-on while crypto signals caution, so position sizing should wait for market confirmation rather than headlines, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. Key watch items highlighted are BTC performance versus global USD liquidity for timing beta exposure, exchange net flows turning positive as confirmation, and ETH leadership over BTC before rotating into higher-beta alts, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. GDP and bank lending softness are cited as context for why the Fed is cutting, while equities shifting to risk-on provides a supportive backdrop once crypto microstructure improves, keeping the stance bullish but careful, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025. The discussion also covers a Bitcoin cycle update and names to monitor such as KGeN and Figure Markets as part of the broader market landscape, source: interview featuring @JustDeauIt shared on X, Sep 19, 2025.

According to @KobeissiLetter on X on Sep 17, 2025, 2025 is the third year since 1996 that Fed rate cuts began with the S&P 500 at or near record highs, with the prior instances in 2019 and 2024. According to @KobeissiLetter, when the Fed cuts rates within 2% of all-time highs, the S&P 500 has delivered an average +14% return over the following 12 months. According to @KobeissiLetter citing Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference remarks, Powell said he is focused on containing inflation and unemployment rather than the stock market. According to IMF research published in 2022, crypto assets including BTC and ETH have shown increased correlation with U.S. equities, implying that equity-positive policy pivots can transmit to crypto risk sentiment. According to @KobeissiLetter, asset owners are positioned for what comes next, aligning positioning with the historical rate-cut playbook outlined in their analysis.

According to Charlie Bilello, current US equity valuations are exceeded only by the 1999-2000 dot-com period, while the Federal Reserve is now cutting rates rather than hiking as it did then (source: Charlie Bilello X post on Sep 15, 2025; source: his linked YouTube video). He highlights this policy-valuation divergence and openly questions whether it risks forming the biggest bubble, underscoring a critical macro backdrop for traders (source: Charlie Bilello X post on Sep 15, 2025). For crypto positioning, elevated stock valuations and easier policy can transmit to BTC and ETH via the rising post-2020 equity-crypto correlation documented by global authorities (source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report, October 2022).

According to @CNBC, historical market performance is often weak after rate cuts, particularly when the Federal Reserve cuts to stabilize a slowing economy, signaling late-cycle stress rather than a new bull trend for risk assets, which tempers near-term risk-on expectations for traders; source: CNBC. For crypto, cross-asset contagion risk is relevant because Bitcoin and equities became more correlated post-2020, meaning macro-driven equity drawdowns can transmit to BTC and ETH pricing during policy pivots; sources: IMF research (2022) and BIS analysis (2022).

According to @rovercrc, the Federal Reserve has confirmed upcoming rate cuts that he believes will trigger an explosive rally in risk assets (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 15, 2025). He further predicts Ethereum (ETH) will reach $10,000, positioning ETH as the prime beneficiary of a Fed-driven liquidity upswing (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 15, 2025). The post offers a directional long-ETH thesis but does not provide timing, evidence, or risk parameters, indicating traders would be following an author-stated momentum view tied to anticipated monetary easing (source: @rovercrc on X, Sep 15, 2025).

According to @rovercrc, rate cuts are coming Wednesday and he shared a historical Bitcoin versus Fed rates comparison to highlight macro’s impact on BTC price dynamics, source: Crypto Rover on X (Sep 15, 2025). According to @rovercrc, the post implies elevated event risk into the FOMC decision, prompting traders to monitor BTC volatility and manage exposure around the policy announcement, source: Crypto Rover on X (Sep 15, 2025). According to @rovercrc, the BTC versus Fed rates chart underscores watching correlation shifts between BTC and U.S. rates if a policy pivot materializes, source: Crypto Rover on X (Sep 15, 2025).

According to @KobeissiLetter, since 1975 there have been only six instances where the S&P 500 rose 30% or more over five months, and 2025 is one of them. Source: @KobeissiLetter; Carson Research via @KobeissiLetter. In those prior cases, the S&P 500 finished higher at both six and twelve months, with an average 12‑month gain of 18.1%. Source: Carson Research via @KobeissiLetter. The post adds that the Federal Reserve is about to begin cutting rates as the AI cycle accelerates, framing a pro‑risk backdrop. Source: @KobeissiLetter. For traders, this macro setup is being monitored as a potential tailwind for liquidity and risk appetite across equities and crypto markets. Source: @KobeissiLetter.